Macedonia 2002-2003. War, Peace or Something Else?

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By Jan Oberg TFF, 2003 67 pages. ISSN 1103-7482, ISRN TFF - R--24--SE As assessment of the risks of violence and war, based on numerous TFF fact-finding missions to the country. The report offers some tools and perspectives on the conflict formation around Macedonia, divided into three circles - the inner/societal, the middle/regional and the outer/global. It offers three possible risk scenarios for the period 2002-2008. The report emphasis, among other things, the necessity of introducing active peace factors to heal the wounds of the war in Macedonia in 2001 and prevent future violence. Contrary to other assessments, this report looks at the international community as a party to the conflict, not as a conflict-manager only. The contents: Introduction Bird's eye view of the conflicts in Macedonia A guide to theories and concepts used in this report Diagnosis of Macedonia 2002-2003 Prognosis Conclusion: Will there be war in Macedonia? Could be order together with our two studies of Kosovo, "Preventing war in Kosovo" and "UNTANS". (Go back to preceding page and scroll upwards there)